Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ALEX-16
Off-shore
14 Jan 2016 21 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ALEX-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (15 Jan 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 148 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      139 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 110000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 13 Jan 2016 21:00 93 No people No people Portugal
        Green 2 14 Jan 2016 03:00 111 No people No people Greenland, Portugal
        Green 3 14 Jan 2016 09:00 111 No people No people Greenland, Portugal
        Green 4 14 Jan 2016 15:00 148 No people 40 thousand Portugal
        Green 5 14 Jan 2016 21:00 139 No people 110 thousand Portugal

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Jan 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 27.1, -30.8
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Jan 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 28.7, -30
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Jan 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 30.1, -29.3
          GREEN
          		 4 14 Jan 2016 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 31.5, -28.4
          GREEN
          		 5 14 Jan 2016 21:00 Category 1 139 no people 240000 people 33.6, -27.8 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 5 15 Jan 2016 06:00 Category 1 139 110000 people 250000 people 36.4, -27.5 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 5 15 Jan 2016 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 250000 people 41.8, -27.9 Portugal
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Jan 2016 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 49.5, -29.7
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Jan 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 56.5, -34
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          Portugal Azores

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Angra do Heroísmo Açores (Azores) Portugal City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Lajes TER 55 Mil. Paved Yes 10800
          Sao Jorge SJZ 95 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Graciosa GRW 26 Civ. Paved No 4300
          Pico PIX 34 Civ. Paved No 4700

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Lajes Do Pico Portugal
          Calheta Sao Jorge Portugal
          San Jorge Island Portugal
          Horta PTHOR Portugal
          Madalena Pico Portugal
          Pico Island Portugal
          Santa Cruz Portugal
          Angra Do Heroismo Portugal
          Praia de Vitoria Portugal
          Sao Matues Pico Portugal
          Velas Sao Jorge Portugal
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Baia da Vila, Portugal. This height is estimated for 15 Jan 2016 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (41 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 15 Jan 2016 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Baia da Vila Portugal  0.4
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 Feteira Portugal  0.4
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 Vila Nova Portugal  0.4
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 Praia da Vitoria Portugal  0.4
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Angra do Heroismo Portugal  0.3
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Angra Portugal  0.3
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 Biscoitos Portugal  0.3
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 Serreta Portugal  0.3
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Santa Barbara Portugal  0.3
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Spotted Island Canada  0.2
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Black Tickle Canada  0.2
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Indian Tickle Canada  0.2
          17 Jan 2016 05:00 Cartwright Canada  0.2
          17 Jan 2016 05:00 Raleigh Canada  0.2
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 'Topo' Portugal  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 North River Canada  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 'Barreiras' Portugal  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Holton Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 05:00 Itilleq Greenland  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Emily Harbour Canada  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 12:00 Mosteiros Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 'Norte Grande' Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 14:00 'Ribeira Seca' Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 15:00 Beira Mar Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 15:00 Santa Cruz da Graciosa Portugal  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Batteau Harbour Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Packs Harbour Canada  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 11:00 Feteiras Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 12:00 Remedios Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 11:00 Relva Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Prainha de Baixo Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Ribeira Grande Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Urzelina Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Ribeirinha Portugal  0.1
          15 Jan 2016 13:00 Manhenha Portugal  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Grady Harbour Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Ship Cove Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Saint Lunaire-Griquet Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Quirpon Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Flat Islands Canada  0.1
          17 Jan 2016 06:00 Frenchmans Island Canada  0.1